Capelle On Golf

Home of Woods vs. Nicklaus – Golf's Greatest Rivalry

TIGER WOODS’ BIG DREAM QUIETLY COMES TO AN END

August 15th, 2015 · No Comments

At 8:18 CT Tiger Woods finished his second round of the PGA with a par to shoot a 4 over score of 148. He needed to shoot 146 (or better) to make the cut. With this most recent missed cut Woods has completed his 30s with 14 majors, 4 short of Jack Nicklaus’ record.

As he heads into his 40s next season Woods barely resembles the player he used to be (it’s been 7 years since he won a major), so his chance of passing Nicklaus in his 40s are super slim to zero. But hey, being the second best player in the Modern Era (1958-now) is still a major accomplishment.

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Time to Make Some History at the PGA!

August 13th, 2015 · No Comments

The majors are always about making history, and the four players who can make the most significant impact on the record book are Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Zach Johnson, and Phil Mickelson.

Spieth – If he wins his W-W-4t-W year in the majors would, IMO, be the best in the Modern Era (1958-now). Woods won 3 majors in 2000, but had no shot at the Grand Slam after the Masters (5th) and his last three majors were ball aided (he used the next generation ball while his competitors did not. Plus there was that bogus non-ruling on the final hole of the playoff with Bob May).

McIlroy - His fifth major in the last five years would keep him on the one a year pace he needs to match Nicklaus.

Mickelson – A sixth major would move him past Seve Ballesteros and into a tie with Nick Faldo and Lee Trevino.

Johnson – His third career major, his third different major, and his second in one season would make him a shoo-in for the Hall of Fame.

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Jordan Spieth should be at the Old Course right now!!

July 7th, 2015 · No Comments

Jordan Spieth has a chance to win to become the first ever to win the modern day Grand Slam. Only Spieth (in June), Arnold Palmer (1961), Jack Nicklaus (1972), and Tiger Woods (2002) have won the first two legs of the Grand Slam since 1958.

There are two schools of thought regarding his preparations:

1) He believes that playing and possibly winning at the John Deere Classic the weeks before the British Open is the best preparation for this event.

2) He should be in Scotland learning all about the nuances of St. Andrews, a course he has only played one round on. That is what Nicklaus and Woods did, and they both won two Opens at the Old Course.

Ironically, one of the big reasons why Spieth won the US Open at Chambers Bay is that his caddy was super familiar with the course. Assuming he will be using the same caddy for the British Open, then he will not have that advantage in the Open – and he will only have three days to prepare for Thursday’s first round (July 16). But who knows, maybe he will steal a page from Palmer’s book and use a local caddie who knew every inch of the course.

Still, IMO, Spieth should be there right now getting used to humps and bumps and mammoth greens of the Home of Golf.

Agreed – or not?

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Jordan Spieth’s Big Opportunity

April 12th, 2015 · No Comments

“Nothing succeeds like success.” Alexandre Dumas, French dramatist

“Winning breeds more winning.” Jack Nicklaus

“Now that the big guy is out of the cage, everybody better run for cover.” Arnold Palmer – after Jack Nicklaus won his first major at age 22, 5 months

Indeed, nothing in sports gives a player the boost that winning does, and the bigger the win, the bigger the impact on that player’s psyche.

Today Jordan Spieth has a chance to win the Masters at age 21, 9 months. If he does, he would build the kind of career momentum that could catapult him to the rarified air of a career double digit major winner.

In the Modern Era there are only two, Nicklaus (18) and Tiger Woods (14). Rory McIlroy, with 4 at the age of 25 and 11 months, has a great chance to join them. And so would Spieth should he win today because he seems to have the IT FACTOR, that special something that separates the all-time greats from everyone else.

About 9 hours from now we will have our answer. Did Spieth meet the challenge and set the stage for a mega career in golf, or did he melt under the heat and possibly join those with so much potential, but who could not do what matters most in sports: Close the Deal!

 

 

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Rickie Fowler to join Nicklaus and Woods at the PGA?

July 25th, 2014 · No Comments

Rickie Fowler has finished 5t, 2t, and 2t in the first three majors, setting himself up for the calendar year Top 5 Slam.

So what, you say? No W? What is the big deal?

Well, if Fowler finishes in the top five at the PGA, he will become only the third player to record a Top 5 Slam since the Modern Era began in 1958. And the others? Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods!

So, a Top 5 Slam would be super cool for the super popular Fowler – the Fans Favorite.

And, if he were to achieve it with a W at the PGA, he would become the odds on choice for Player of the Year, and he would complete one of the best years in golf history!

While Tiger’s comeback is a nice story, and McIlroy’s bid for his first double major winning season is of interest, to me, nothing tops Fowler’s bid for a 2014 for the record books.

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Mickelson’s last shot

June 11th, 2014 · No Comments

Here is your preview for the 2014 U.S. Open:

Phil Mickelson.

Seriously, is there any other story that comes even close to Phil’s bid to win the Open, and to capture the Career Grand Slam?

Okay, this is Johnny Miller’s final U.S. Open (we think) because Fox will take over broadcasting it next year. And then there is Pinehurst #2. At the U.S. Open, the course always plays a starring role, and the super long #2 is no exception. At 7,562, it will be playing about 350 yards longer than in 2005. Pinehurst is also famous for its saucer like greens that repel well hit shots that hit the sides of the putting surfaces – in effect it has false fronts, false sides, and false backs!

Now, back to Phil. As you all no doubt know, he finished second here to Payne Stewart in 1999, but was consoled by the birth of his first child the next day. Fast forward to 2013 and Mickelson notched his sixth runnerup finish in the US Open at Merion. A month later he pulled himself together to win the Open, the third leg of the Slam, and the one most figured he’d never win.

Mickelson is five days shy of his 44th birthday, so he is, essentially, 44 – and players at this age seldom win majors, much less the U.S. Open, the most demanding of the four. Mickelson seems to be feeling his age on the course as well, as the  best he has managed are a pair of ties for eleventh on the PGA Tour after opening the season with a 2t Abu Dhabi.

To make matters worse, Mickelson just adopted the claw grip in an attempt to cure his problems on the greens. This smacks of desperation and a lack of confidence – just at a time when he needs all facets of his game to reach a peak.

I do not expect big things from Mickelson this week, nor do the oddsmakers at Ladbrokes, who have him at 16-1. But then again, they don’t like anyone that much as they have installed Rory McIlroy as the favorite at 12-1.

Every Open is special, and this one more than most as it gives every appearance of being Mickelson’s last shot at the Slam. He looks like he is anything but ready, but he has surprised us before – and there is scarcely a person in golf who would not love to see him beat the odds and time, and join golf’s most elite club.

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Let youth be served at the Masters

April 12th, 2014 · No Comments

Last weekend Lexi Thompson became the second youngest player to ever win a women’s major, capturing the Kraft-Nabisco at the ripe old age of 19 years and 55 days. Thompson’s win came on the heels of a third place showing at the 2013 Evian, the LPGA Tour’s fifth major.

This weekend, PGA Tour winner Jordan Spieth, aged 20 years and 8 and a half months, could become the youngest Masters champion in history, and the first to win on his first attempt at Augusta since Fuzzy Zoeller won a three way playoff in 1979.

Going into the weekend, Spieth is in a four way tie for third, three back of 2012 champion Bubba Watson. In second is Australia’s John Senden, one ahead of Spieth, Adam Scott, Jonas Blixt, and Thomas Bjorn.

I, for one, will be rooting for Spieth to capture the Green Jacket because it could serve as the springboard to a spirited run of major titles, given his youth and talent. A Spieth victory could also set the stage for the next great rivalry in golf – Spieth vs. McIlroy – as these two become the Nicklaus-Palmer of their generation.

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The Masters: who are you rooting for – and against?

April 11th, 2014 · No Comments

Like any fan, I suppose that you have those players who you root for – and possibly against!

I know that I do and, as each round is completed, my list of potential heroes and villains becomes clearer still.

My cliffs notes version for who I root for, and against, is as follows: For – players who have paid their dues by contending a few times in majors (Garcia, Day, Westwood), those who have already won a major (the game needs multiple major winning superstars), and those who’s wins would carry a great deal of historical significance (like McIlroy winning the third leg of the Career Slam).

Who do I root against? Easy – anyone who uses a long putter – and even more so now that the USGA said that using them is against the spirit of the game. I also cheer against those who’s wins would likely be a fluke.

With this criteria in mind, after round 1, my list of Friends and Foes among those who broke par is as follows:
Bill Haas – against – not paid dues
Adam Scott – against, long putter
Louis Oosthuizen – for – great swing – won the Open, second here in 2012
Kevin Stadler – against, long putter
Rickie Fowler – for – contended at Open – good guy – breakout player
Jordan Spieth – for – the young phenom exemption
Matteo Manassero – same as above
Rory McIlroy – got to root for a two time major winner
Fred Couples – against – long putter
K.J. Choi – good guy, has a 3 and a 4t in the Masters

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Nothing but Long Shots at the Masters

April 8th, 2014 · No Comments

When Tiger Woods is playing, he is always the favorite, and usually at ridiculously low odds, such as in a range from 3/1 to 5/1.

But, as the whole golfing world knows, Woods is at home recuperating from surgery on his back last week. In his absence, we have nothing but longer shots (over 10/1), longer shots (say, about 33/1 to 40/1), and super long shots (everyone else).

In Category 1, I like Rory McIlroy, who would love to win his third different major, and atone for his meltdown on Masters Sunday (an 80) three years ago. McIlroy served notice that he is peaking for Augusta with his closing 65 last week in Houston, which lead to a 7t.

I also like Jason Day, who has accumulated more Contender Finish Points (18)  than any other non-major winner among the active players except for perennial bridesmaids Sergio Garcia (who has 27), and Lee Westwood (29). For more on CFP, see my book, Woods vs. Nicklaus. In the last three Masters, Day has tied for second and finished third.

Phil Mickelson will be gunning for his fourth Masters title, but he has yet to record a top 10 this season, and his health has been an issue. Besides, if he were to win a major this season, the US Open at Pinehurst would be his obvious first choice, and that of his fans as well. As for Scott, I cannot root for the chances of anyone who still uses a long putter – not after the USGA said that they violated the spirit of the game!

Ladbrokes Favorites – as of 10am, 4/8/14
Rory McIlroy  12/1
Adam Scott  12/1
Phil Mickelson  14/1
Jason Day  16/1
Sergio Garcia  20/1
Dustin Johnson  25/1
Matt Kuchar  25/1
Bubba Watson  25/1
Henrik Stenson  25/1
Keegan Bradley  33/1
Charl Schwartzel  33/1
Zach Johnson  33/1

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Is Tiger Woods already feeling the pressure?

February 28th, 2014 · No Comments

Tiger Woods opened with a 71, 8 back of Rory McIlroy, and in a tie for 84th at the Honda Classic. The Honda is being played on PGA National, which is NOT one of his pet courses that he routinely wins at, and his lackluster performance comes on the heels of an 80t (at Torrey Pines!) and a 41t in Dubai.

Woods’ play makes me wonder if he is already feeling the pressure in a year that he, and the entire golf world, knows is the most important one of his career?

Last year he won twice on the Florida swing leading up to a 4t at the Masters. So, it will be interesting to see if an excuse free Woods, who has no apparent health issues, and who should have mastered the Foley Swing by now (they’ve been together for 3.5 years now) can come even close to matching his record last year in events that he recently admitted are really only tune ups for the season’s first major.

 

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